Bayesian Methods in Search for MH370

Uncertainty is all pervasive–whether it relates to everyday personal choices and
actions, or as background to business and policy decisions, or economic and climate
predictions. In recent times, few things have attracted as much attention as the
uncertainty surrounding the final whereabouts of MH370.

PDF December 2015

MH370 Press Conference Update Dec 2015

Definition of Underwater Search Areas

Analysis of available data has been ongoing since the search for MH370 commenced. Initial
results assisted the search and rescue mission, and later refinements have formed the basis for
the underwater search areas.

 PDF  December 2015

The Location of MH370 - A Reverse Drift Study Based On Debris Found

The following is a reverse drift study performed on all debris pieces found thus far in Africa which either are confirmed or believed to be from MH370. The objective of this study is to try to define the most common general area with the highest probability of being the point of origin of where all these debris pieces may have originated from in the Indian Ocean. This study ignores all other data and only uses the drift data from the drift tool ( to determine all possible origin points of all the debris pieces based on their respective locations and estimated drift times at Sea.


This website is not affiliated with any government, country, or company . It was set up by concerned individuals in conjunction with a small number of next of kin and family members of those onboard.

Our sole priority is to help find the aircraft, passengers and its crew. This site is run and funded by volunteers.

We do not pass on the personal contact details for contributors to this site.


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